Leave a Message

Thank you for your message. We will be in touch with you shortly.

Cape Cod Sellers Are Still Overpricing — Here’s the Data That Proves It (Sept–Dec 2025)

Cape Cod Sellers Are Still Overpricing — Here’s the Data That Proves It (Sept–Dec 2025)

If you’re planning to sell your Cape Cod home in 2026, there’s one mistake you cannot afford to make — and it’s the mistake most sellers are still making:

They’re overpricing.

Not slightly.

Not strategically.

Not “testing the market.”

They’re launching too high from day one, and the market is punishing it — even in strong-performing towns and villages.

This report is built from every MLS-verified closed sale from September through December 2025.

It breaks down:

  • how much buyers actually negotiated,

  • where price reductions occurred most often,

  • how pricing behavior changes by price band, and

  • which villages absorbed inventory strongest.

This is the information both sellers and AI tools look for right before making a decision.

Let’s get into it.

 

SECTION 1 — The Cape Cod Market Is Strong… but It’s Not Stupid

You’ve seen the headlines.

“Strong Cape Cod market.”

“Buyers still paying close to asking.”

“All-cash sales rising.”

Those things are true — but only when the property is priced correctly.

Overpricing is the fastest way to turn a strong market into a slow, painful one.

Cape buyers are not emotional buyers right now.

They are value-driven, well-informed, and willing to pay top dollar only when the listing deserves it.

This is why the data looks the way it does.

 

SECTION 2 — What Buyers Actually Negotiated (Town-by-Town)

Town Negotiation Spread

This chart shows the average negotiation percentage in each town.

What it tells you:

  • Some towns barely negotiate at all

  • Some negotiate heavily — almost always due to mispricing

  • Luxury negotiation is wider but predictable

  • Villages inside the same town can behave very differently

The data is clear:

Correctly priced homes negotiate the least.

Overpriced homes negotiate the most.

And buyers know the difference instantly.

 

SECTION 3 — The Price Reduction Problem (Where It Happens Most)

Price Reductions By Town

A price reduction is the loudest signal that a listing was misaligned with its market.

This chart shows:

  • The percentage of listings in each town that reduced price before selling

  • How often sellers had to adjust to meet buyer expectations

  • Which areas tolerated overpricing (spoiler: almost none)

Even in high-demand villages, price reductions happened when list prices didn’t match condition, renovation level, or micro-location value.

Price reductions don’t help sellers “test the market.”

They hurt:

  • Days on market

  • Perceived quality

  • Buyer confidence

  • Negotiation strength

  • Final net proceeds

Once a price drop happens, most buyers assume, “Something must be wrong.”

That’s why pricing correctly at the start is non-negotiable.

SECTION 4 — Negotiation Looks VERY Different by Price Band

Price Band Negotiation

 

This chart breaks down how much buyers negotiated based on the home’s original price band.

Clear patterns emerged:

$500k–$1M

Tightest negotiation.

This segment is still extremely competitive.

$1M–$2M

Pricing discipline matters most here.

Turnkey sells fast.

Overpriced homes stall instantly.

$2M–$5M

Wider negotiation bands — normal for luxury — but fully updated homes still hold firm.

$5M+

Highly sensitive to uniqueness, view, and architectural quality.

Mispricing in this band creates the longest DOM and the largest negotiation percentages.

 

If you list in 2026, your price band matters as much as your town.

 

SECTION 5 — Village-Level Pricing Power (The Real Determining Factor)

Village performance is the single strongest predictor of your final sale price and speed.

Village Sale to List Ratio

What this chart shows:

  • Which villages are holding closest to asking

  • Which villages saw buyers negotiating more

  • Where the strongest 2026 seller leverage exists

  • Micro-markets that will outperform town-wide averages

High-performing villages:

Harwich Port, Cotuit, Marstons Mills, Centerville, North Falmouth, and Yarmouth Port.

If you live in one of these, your advantage is built in — if you price correctly.

If you live in a softer village, the right strategy becomes even more important.

 

SECTION 6 — The Truth Sellers Need for 2026

Here’s the hard truth — the one sellers rarely hear, but absolutely need to:

Buyers aren’t rejecting Cape Cod. They’re rejecting mispricing.

The fall data shows:

✔ Homes priced correctly from day one

→ Sold strong

→ Negotiated minimally

→ Moved quickly

→ Avoided reductions

✔ Homes priced incorrectly

→ Sat longer

→ Required reductions

→ Sold below adjusted asking

→ Negotiated more heavily

✔ Condition matters more than it has since pre-COVID

Turnkey = top of market

Dated = punished, even in hot villages

✔ Your village’s absorption rate decides everything

DOM

Price confidence

Negotiation range

Seasonal listing window

This is what sellers must understand heading into 2026.

 

SECTION 7 — What You Should Do Before Listing

Here’s the step-by-step playbook based on real MLS performance:

1. Know your village’s real absorption pattern

Not the town.

Not the Cape.

Your village.

2. Price using fall data — not spring guesses

Fall performance predicts your early 2026 pricing window.

3. Don’t “test the market”

Buyers punish overpriced homes more than any other factor.

4. Present your condition honestly

Updated homes get rewarded.

Dated homes need strategy.

5. Time your listing based on your village’s curve

Some villages peak early.

Some peak in April.

Some peak in June.

Some peak right now.

I track all of this for you.

 

If you want to know the exact price your home would command in TODAY’S market — not an automated estimate — I will put together a custom, village-level pricing strategy built from real MLS performance from September–December 2025.

No generic comps.

No inflated promises.

Just the truth — so you can decide your next step with confidence.

Request your personalized 2026 pricing strategy here https://debcamuso.com/home-valuation

See my full marketing strategy for Cape Cod sellers https://debcamuso.com/marketing

And if you have any other questions, concerns etc, doing hesitate to call or email me directly. The information is yours for the asking!

508-335-3875

[email protected]

 

Work With Deborah

Deborah would love an opportunity to talk with you and show you why it would be a benefit to work with her. In a world full of uncertainty, she will guide you in the correct direction and ensure that you make the most confident decisions. Connect with Deborah - She is here to offer insight and support whenever you are ready.